22 Kasım 2012 Perşembe

Yield Curve on 2012-11-20

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The very short end of the yield curve continues to behave erratically. My best guess to its cause is still the concerns relating to the fiscal cliff. Nonetheless, the yield curve as a whole shifted up today. That shift might be attributed to the following action by the Federal Reserve chairman, as noted in a Bloomberg news article (link here):

“The yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed to 1.67 percent from 1.61 percent as Bernanke’s comments suggested that a fiscal deal could remove impediments to growth. Stocks erased losses, with the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index advancing 0.1 percent to 1,387.82 at the close of trading in New York after losing as much as 0.7 percent.”

cmNomYield

Newsmap (website link here) suggests that the “hottest” news at around 3 P.M. today are Twinkies, Chinese political news, and something positive relating to the fiscal cliff situation. I only included business news in the filter. For those of you that have never heard of Newsmap, here’s the description from the creator’s blog (link here):

“Newsmap is an application that visually reflects the constantly changing landscape of the Google News news aggregator.”

Thus, it appears the change in the yield curve today is due to two pieces of news – one affecting the very short end and the other affecting the longer end of the curve.

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21 Kasım 2012 Çarşamba

Gold, Silver Prices rose watch U.S budget deal

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Stock market news today : Gold, Silver Prices rose watch U.S budget deal : Gold prices were rising Monday as confidence increased that Congress would reach a U.S. budget deal to avoid deep spending cuts and tax relief measures that could automatically go into effect at the beginning of 2013.
Gold for December delivery was rising $18 to $1,732.70 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price traded as high as $1,732.70 and as low as $1,713.40 an ounce, while the spot price was jumping $20, according to Kitco's gold index.

Silver prices for December delivery were gaining 66 cents to $33.03 an ounce, while the U.S. dollar index was shedding 0.48% to $80.80.

Preliminary feedback on the so-called fiscal cliff talks suggested negotiations were "constructive" and on a promising path to reach a deal.

In other words, the headlines suggest early negotiations struck a positive tone, but politicians have outlined few, if any, particulars to the deal. Gold investors may be wise to keep a close watch on budget discussions

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Reliance stock prices Analysis november 20 2012

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Reliance stock prices Analysis november 20 2012 : Reliance Capital Ltd BSE 0.01 % surged over 2 per cent in early trade on Tuesday after the financial services major has begun talks to sell 26 per cent equity in its general insurance arm to a foreign partner.
"The company is also open to selling further stake in life insurance and mutual fund units," PTI said in a report on Monday. Reliance Capital has already sold 26 per cent stake in each of its mutual funds and life insurance units to Japanese financial services major Nippon Life.

At 09:40 am, Reliance Capital was trading 2.9 per cent higher at Rs 386.75. It has hit a low of Rs 382.20 and a high of Rs 387.95 in trade today.

Nippon holds 26 per cent stake in Reliance Capital Asset Management, which it acquired for about Rs 1,450 crore. Besides, Nippon has also purchased a 26 per cent stake in Reliance Life for over Rs 3,000 crore.

Currently, foreign investment is capped at 26 per cent in the insurance business in India, but there are no such cap in the mutual funds segment. However, the government is considering increasing the foreign investment limit in the insurance sector to 49 per centFor the latest updates PRESS CTR + D or visit Stock Market news Today

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Analysis Easyjet dividend profit margins jump

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Stock market today - Analysis Easyjet dividend profit margins jump : EasyJet, the biggest airline operating in Scotland, delighted investors yesterday with a high-flying set of results, but even a doubling of the dividend failed to quieten its founder and rebel shareholder.
Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou has been waging war on the easyJet board over its remuneration and aircraft investment plans. He has also called for chairman Sir Michael Rake to step down, claiming he is too busy.

Yesterday, despite the budget carrier's 38% rise in pre-tax profit to a record £317 million on revenues up 11% to £3.85 billion, and a 5% jump in the share price as the dividend was hiked from 10.5p to 21p, a spokesman for Sir Stelios said: "Mike Rake has got too many fingers in too many pies - there are still questions remaining."

He said Sir Stelios was claiming a couple of victories: in the raising of the dividend from one-fifth to one-third of pre-tax profit; and the efficient utilisation of the existing fleet.

"The cash that will be spent on the dividend and paying down debt suggests this is not a company about to go on a spending spree for new aircraft, which is the last thing we want given the situation in Europe."

Carolyn McCall, easyJet's chief executive, said: "The strength of easyJet's business model and strategy coupled with the hard work and dedication of the easyJet team has delivered record profits as well as a significant increase in returns for shareholders during the year."

She said shareholders would "benefit from easyJet's success with £85m of dividends", adding that the figures "demonstrate easyJet is a structural winner in the European short-haul market against both legacy and low-cost competition".

Pre-tax profit margins were up from 7.2% to 8.2% despite a £182m increase in unit fuel costs; passenger numbers rose 7.1% to 58.4 million; and return on capital jumped from 9.8% to 11.3%.

Load factors were up from 87.3% to 88.7%, with revenue per seat up by an underlying 7.5%.

Part of the improvement was down to the increased proportion of larger A320 aircraft in the fleet, easyJet said, and to exceptionally low levels of disruption compared with previous years.

EasyJet carried more than 4.5 million passengers to and from its four Scottish airports in the year to June, and expects that to reach almost 5 million in the current year. The airline will fly six new routes from Edinburgh next March, including the capital's first direct flights to Berlin, Hamburg and Reykjavik, creating 160 jobs and adding 140,000 passengers a year.

Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers, said: "Set against the difficulties the industry has been facing, typified by the recent Iberia announcement [of a major restructuring], easyJet has managed to shoot the lights out."

Analysts at Oriel Securities said: "We continue to believe the shares are cheap ... the change to the dividend policy is a strong signal of confidence in the future."

Espirito Santo's analysts said the current year would be "relatively subdued - with cost headwinds from fuel, exchange rates, higher airport charges and a more normal level of operational disruption"

easyJet's business model, easyJet strategy, Easyjet dividend 2013, Easyjet dividend projection 2013, Pre-tax profit margins, Easyjet stock prediction 2013,Easyjet rate, cheap Easyjetrate, 
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Why Xstrata merger with Glencore

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Stock market News Today - Why Xstrata merger with Glencore : Both Xstrata and Glencore shareholders have voted overwhelmingly to merge the mining and commodity giants. Almost 80% of Xstrata investors voted in favour of the $31bn (£19.5bn) deal.
However, they did not reach a large enough majority on a separate resolution to keep on the mining company's key managers under a "golden handcuffs" retention plan.

Earlier, Glencore said 99.42% of its shareholders supported the deal between the two Anglo-Swiss companies. The merger would still need competition approval by the European Commission.

The merger offer was first announced in February, when Glencore offered 2.8 shares for each Xstrata share. After months of negotiations, the offer was increased to 3.05 shares in September.

Under the revised terms, Glencore's chief executive Ivan Glasenberg demanded to head the combined group.

At Tuesday's Xstrata meeting, the company's shareholders did not pass a resolution that would have seen a £140m retention package for 72 of its senior management.

The vote will be seen as a coup for Glencore's Mr Glasenberg, and prompted Xstrata chairman John Bond to announce that he would step down once a new independent chairman of the merged group was found.

Xstrata chief executive Mick Davis expressed regret at the result of the pay vote, which the board had recommended.

"I regret the decision of shareholders not to approve these retention arrangements for the members of my senior and operational management deemed crucial to the success of the combined group as, in my view, this introduces unnecessary risks to the merged company's future value proposition," he said.

"Shareholders, however, have spoken clearly and we respect their views.

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How payday loan bullies are stealing your cash

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Stock market news today - How payday loan bullies are stealing your cash : Payday loan companies have been caught threatening customers, grabbing cash without permission and rolling over debts as many as 12 times.
A devastating report has revealed how these controversial firms, which offer short- term instant loans with annual interest of up to 14,000 per cent, are leaving customers struggling with massive debts and unable to buy food or pay bills.

Payday lenders claim they are performing a public service — making it easier for  borrowers who can’t get easy credit from banks to pay bills. They say their customers are generally satisfied.

But the investigation by the Office of Fair Trading (OFT) revealed an 800 per cent jump in the number of complaints about such companies in just two years.

It also discovered these firms were dipping into customers’ bank accounts without asking — leaving borrowers unable to meet essential living costs.

A spokesman for debt charity StepChange said: ‘This report reveals the systemic failures at the heart of the payday loan industry. This is its last chance to show that it’s serious about protecting customers from the rogue elements with which the sector appears to be riddled.’

The OFT found some lenders were actively encouraging customers to delay paying off their loans in a process called rolling over.

This means customers don’t pay back their original borrowing within the agreed time and roll it over for another few weeks.

When doing this, customers are hit with huge charges and extra interest, which can cause the size of a debt to balloon.

For example, a borrower with QuickQuid — one of Britain’s biggest lenders — who rolled over a £400 loan the maximum of five times over two months would see their debt swell to £1,286 — more than three times the amount they had originally borrowed. The report revealed that 80 per cent of firms fail to check whether borrowers could afford the extra costs, and let customers roll over loans up to 12 times.

Others did not put a limit on the size of debts, so loans ran out of control even faster.

Payday firms also failed to check how many loans a borrower had at one time.

StepChange said it had seen borrowers juggling as many as 36 loans at once and owing tens of thousands of pounds.

But when borrowers start to struggle with their repayments, they are often tormented by their lender.

The OFT found some payday lenders would bully customers, constantly ringing them  at work or home and refusing to deal with debt charities.

It is investigating several  firms, and has issued a strongly worded warning to payday lending trade groups, saying they need to improve urgently.

Britain’s biggest payday lender Wonga says it has not received a letter from the OFT saying it is being investigated. Debt charities say the average payday loan borrower owes £1,458, typically more than their monthly  salary. Some owe as much as £17,000.

An estimated three million people turned to payday lenders in the past year.

There are around 250 of these firms in the UK, and they are raking in an estimated £1.9 billion a year from desperate borrowers who can’t get credit from their banks.

A spokesman for payday lenders’ trade body the Consumer Finance Association says: ‘We understand the OFT’s concerns around some of the practices adopted  by some lesser players in the payday-  lending market.

‘Our biggest advocates are our customers themselves. So as well as highlighting  areas of poor practice, the OFT must acknowledge the high levels of satisfaction and the value our customers place on short-term credit products.’

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20 Kasım 2012 Salı

Hot Gold Stocks today november 19 2012

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Hot Gold Stocks today november 19 2012 : Gold jumped one percent on Monday, improving last week’s losses, on augmented risk appetite as the dollar show flexibility. Spot gold increased 1.02 percent to $1,731.00 an ounce by 1430 GMT, having former rise to $1,732.10. U.S. gold advanced 0.97 percent to $1,731.40. The gold market’s consideration is mainly focused on the financial plan talks between U.S. President Barack Obama and Congressional leaders.

New York’s SPDR Gold Trust GLD, holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded-fund (ETF), jumped 0.22 percent on Friday, while those of the major silver-backed ETF, New York’s iShares Silver Trust SLV, dropped 0.45 percent for the same period.
Here we are going to discuss some gold stocks showing positive moves.

Barrick Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:ABX)
During mid day trading, Barrick Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:ABX) jumped +1.51% to $34.23 and the volume was 3.11 million shares. Its fifty two week range was $30.84-$52.43. The total market capitalization remained $33.74 billion.

ABX is ahead its 52 week low with 11.09% and its last month price volatility remained 2.89%. Its beta coefficient was 0.42 with a target price of $51.40. Company’s current year earnings per share grew with 29.15% while the five year EPS growth rate was +25.85%.

Kinross Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:KGC)
Kinross Gold Corp reported that the Company remains on pathway to achieve its fiscal 2012 production estimate of approximately 2.5-2.6 million gold alike ounces from its ongoing operations, and its expenditure of sales prediction of $690-$725 per gold equivalent ounce.

Kinross Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:KGC) +1.37% to $9.63 in mid day trading and total traded volume was 2.68 million shares. KGC has market cap of 10.96 billion while its outstanding shares are 1.14 billion.

Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM)
Shares of Newmont Mining Corporation entered into oversold region, striking an RSI reading of 29.0, after changing hands as low as $47.86 per share. By evaluation, the present RSI reading of the S&P/TSX Composite Index is 32.9.

Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM) advanced +1.28% to $47.26 with the total traded volume of 2.48 million shares in mid day trading on Monday. In its share capital NEM has 491.54 million outstanding shares while 490.11 million shares have been floated in market. NEM has insider ownership of 0.02% with its institutional ownership remained 83.03%.

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